Football Underachievers (Next Three Days)
This xPts vs Pts value-bets table highlights teams whose recent results differ sharply from their underlying performance. It compares actual points (Pts) with expected points (xPts) over the last 10 matches to identify sides that may be over‑ or under-performing. A large gap can signal potential value when set against the latest 1x2 odds. The fixtures are ranked by the strongest expected returns, but punters should still check team news, injuries, and rotation to understand why recent performance may not match the underlying numbers.
| Match Date | Competition | Game | Value Bet | xPts | Pts | Diff | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 17:00 | Turkish Super LeagueSuper | Kasimpasa v Fatih Karagumruk | Kasimpasa | 11.19 | 6 | -5.19 | 1.97 |
| Wed 20:00 | Premier LeagueEPL | Wolverhampton v Arsenal | Wolverhampton | 10.80 | 7 | -3.80 | 12.20 |
| Mon 17:00 | Turkish Super LeagueSuper | Kasimpasa v Fatih Karagumruk | Fatih Karagumruk | 11.48 | 8 | -3.48 | 4.26 |
| Mon 20:00 | ChampionshipCha | Coventry v Middlesbrough | Coventry | 15.39 | 12 | -3.39 | 2.32 |