Football Underachievers (Next Three Days)

This xPts vs Pts value-bets table highlights teams whose recent results differ sharply from their underlying performance. It compares actual points (Pts) with expected points (xPts) over the last 10 matches to identify sides that may be over‑ or under-performing. A large gap can signal potential value when set against the latest 1x2 odds. The fixtures are ranked by the strongest expected returns, but punters should still check team news, injuries, and rotation to understand why recent performance may not match the underlying numbers.
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Match DateCompGameValue BetxPtsPtsDiffOdds
Thu 00:30 MLSMLS Inter Miami v New York City New York City 13.90 7 -6.90
Thu 02:30 MLSMLS Colorado v Minnesota United Minnesota United 12.68 6 -6.68 3.2
Thu 02:30 MLSMLS Real Salt Lake v San Jose Real Salt Lake 9.73 4 -5.73 1.89
Fri 19:45 Italian Serie ASA Frosinone v Sassuolo Sassuolo 16.72 11 -5.72 2.77
Thu 01:30 MLSMLS Nashville Sc v Sporting KC Sporting KC 13.48 8 -5.48 12
Wed 19:45 ChampionshipCha QPR v Derby Derby 11.12 6 -5.12 5.1
Fri 19:30 German BundesligaBund Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Koln Eintracht Frankfurt 11.98 7 -4.98 2
Thu 00:30 MLSMLS Montreal v Atlanta United Montreal 12.81 8 -4.81
Sat 06:00 Japan J1-LeagueJL1 JEF United Chiba v Yokohama FM JEF United Chiba 9.40 5 -4.40 3.6
Thu 03:30 MLSMLS Los Angeles FC v Austin FC Los Angeles FC 12.35 8 -4.35 1.47
Thu 00:30 MLSMLS Inter Miami v New York City Inter Miami 15.28 11 -4.28
Wed 19:45 ChampionshipCha Norwich v Southampton Norwich 13.21 9 -4.21 2.43
Thu 00:30 MLSMLS Columbus v Charlotte FC Columbus 13.16 9 -4.16
Thu 00:30 MLSMLS D.C. United v NY Red Bulls D.C. United 11.75 8 -3.75
Sat 06:00 Japan J1-LeagueJL1 Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo Tokyo Verdy 7.33 4 -3.33 4.7
Thu 03:30 MLSMLS LA Galaxy v Portland Portland 12.23 9 -3.23 3.2
Fri 19:30 German BundesligaBund Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Koln FC Koln 12.14 9 -3.14 3.52
Thu 02:30 MLSMLS Real Salt Lake v San Jose San Jose 16.10 13 -3.10 3.75